Sciences and Exploration Directorate

Randal D. Koster

((AST, EARTH SCI REMOTE SENSING))

Randal D. Koster's Contact Card & Information.
Email: randal.d.koster@nasa.gov
Phone: 301.614.5781
Org Code: 610.1
Address:
NASA/GSFC
Mail Code 610.1
Greenbelt, MD 20771
Employer:
NASA

Brief Bio


Dr. Koster has worked at NASA/GSFC since September of 1987, first as a member of the Hydrological Sciences Branch, and currently as a member of the GMAO. His early work focused on the analysis of global water isotope geochemistry. Most of his tenure at GSFC, though, has been dedicated to two research thrusts: (i) the development of improved treatments of land surface physics for Earth system models, and (ii) the analysis of interactions between the land and atmosphere, using these models. He has examined many questions regarding land-atmosphere feedback, including: Can knowledge of soil moisture conditions at the beginning of a seasonal weather forecast improve the forecast? Can we find evidence in the observational record that variability in land surface states has an effect on rainfall, air temperature, and other atmospheric variables? He has coordinated multi-institutional analyses of land-atmosphere feedback for GEWEX and CLIVAR, components of the World Climate Research Programme. He serves on the SMAP Science Team, focusing on making sure that SMAP satellite-based soil moisture data is useful for climate studies and other applications.
With the advent of the GMAO in 2003, Koster has been given the responsibility of coordinating the land surface modeling activities at GSFC into a single land surface modeling system. This ever-evolving system is used extensively by the GMAO and is available for use by the NASA community.
In addition, Koster served for several years as a lecturer for the climate program at George Mason University.


Education


B.Sc. (Honors), 1982: California Institute of Technology
M.Sc., 1985: Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Sc.D., 1988: Massachusetts Institute of Technology

Positions/Employment


Research Scientist, Hydrological Sciences Branch

NASA/GSFC - Greenbelt, MD

1987 - 2003



Research Scientist, Global Modeling and Assimilation Office

NASA/GSFC - Greenbelt, MD

2003 - Present


Teaching Experience


Lecturer, George Mason University's Climate Dynamics Program (Co-developed and taught, for several years, a graduate level class on Land-Climate Interactions)

Professional Societies


American Geophysical Union

Fellow

1983 - Present


American Meteorological Society

Fellow

2000 - Present

Professional Service


(Past and Current)

WCRP/CLIVAR Working Group on Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction (mid-to-late 2000s)

WCRP/GEWEX Global Land Atmosphere Systems Study panel (mid-to-late 2000s)

Organizer of multi-institutional GLACE and GLACE-2 projects (mid-to-late 2000s)

US CLIVAR Predictability, Predictions, and Applications Interface Panel (mid-2000s)

Authors’ team: CCSP Synthesis and Assessment Product 1.3, Re-Analysis (2008)

NRC panel on ``Assessment of Climate Predictability on Intraseasonal-to-Interannual Timescales'' (2010)

SMAP Science Team, Science Team (Current)

NOAA/MAPP Drought Task Force (mid 2010s)


Decadal Survey Panel (mid 2010s)

Extensive reviewing work (panels, papers, proposals, etc.)

 

Awards


NASA/GSFC William Nordberg Memorial Award for Earth Science, 2021

AMS Hydrologic Sciences Medal, 2016

Horton Lecturer, American Meteorological Society, 2014

AGU Editor's Citation for Excellence in Refereeing, 1991

AMS Editor's Award, J. Hydrometeorology, 2007

 

Publications


Refereed

2024. "Insights into the causes and predictability of the 2022/23 California Flooding." Journal of Climate 37 (13): 3613-3629 [10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0696.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2024. "Soil Moisture Memory: State‐Of‐The‐Art and the Way Forward." Reviews of Geophysics 62 (2): [10.1029/2023rg000828] [Journal Article/Letter]

2024. "Soil Moisture Profiles of Ecosystem Water Use Revealed With ECOSTRESS." Geophysical Research Letters 51 (8): [10.1029/2024gl108326] [Journal Article/Letter]

2024. "Estimating Hydrological Regimes from Observational Soil Moisture, Evapotranspiration, and Air Temperature Data." Journal of Hydrometeorology 25 (3): 495–513 [10.1175/jhm-d-23-0140.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2024. "Neglect of Potential Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting Skill in the United States National Water Model." Geophysical Research Letters 51 (4): [10.1029/2023gl105649] [Journal Article/Letter]

2023. "IMERG Precipitation Improves the SMAP Level-4 Soil Moisture Product." Journal of Hydrometeorology 24 1699-1723 [10.1175/jhm-d-23-0063.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2023. "Representing the Subgrid Surface Heterogeneity of Precipitation in a General Circulation Model." Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 15 (9): [10.1029/2022ms003562] [Journal Article/Letter]

2023. "Late-fall satellite-based soil moisture observations show clear connections to subsequent spring streamflow." Nature Communications 14 (1): 3545 [10.1038/s41467-023-39318-3] [Journal Article/Letter]

2023. "Dynamical drivers of the exceptional warmth over Siberia during the spring of 2020." Journal of Climate 36 (15): 4837-4861 [10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0387.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2023. "NASA’s NMME-based S2S Hydrologic Forecast System for Food Insecurity Early Warning in Southern Africa." Journal of Hydrology 617 (B): 129005 [10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.129005] [Journal Article/Letter]

2022. "The Simulation and Subseasonal Forecasting of Hydrological Variables: Insights from a Simple Water Balance Model." Journal of Hydrometeorology 23 (11): 1719-1736 [10.1175/jhm-d-22-0050.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2022. "Exploring the relationship between temperature forecast errors and Earth system variables." Earth System Dynamics 13 (4): 1451-1471 [10.5194/esd-13-1451-2022] [Journal Article/Letter]

2022. "Canopy Height and Climate Dryness Parsimoniously Explain Spatial Variation of Unstressed Stomatal Conductance." Geophysical Research Letters 49 (15): [10.1029/2022gl099339] [Journal Article/Letter]

2022. "Skillful Seasonal Forecasts of Land Carbon Uptake in Northern Mid‐ and High Latitudes." Geophysical Research Letters 49 (6): e2021GL097117 [10.1029/2021GL097117] [Journal Article/Letter]

2022. "Tropical Peatland Hydrology Simulated With a Global Land Surface Model." Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 14 (3): e2021MS002784 [10.1029/2021ms002784] [Journal Article/Letter]

2022. "Exceptional warmth in the Northern Hemisphere during January through March of 2020: The roles of unforced and forced modes of atmospheric variability." Journal of Climate 35 (8): 2565-2584 [https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0291.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2022. "Seasonal variability in the mechanisms behind the 2020 Siberian heatwaves." Journal of Climate 35 (10): 3075-3090 [https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0432.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2021. "Improved Estimates of Pentad Precipitation Through the Merging of Independent Precipitation Data Sets." Water Resources Research 57 (12): e2021WR030330 [10.1029/2021wr030330] [Journal Article/Letter]

2021. "The response of the Amazon ecosystem to the photosynthetically active radiation fields: integrating impacts of biomass burning aerosol and clouds in the NASA GEOS Earth system model." Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 21 (18): 14177-14197 [10.5194/acp-21-14177-2021] [Journal Article/Letter]

2021. "Asymmetry in Subseasonal Surface Air Temperature Forecast Error with Respect to Soil Moisture Initialization." Journal of Hydrometeorology 22 (10): 2505-2519 [10.1175/jhm-d-21-0022.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2021. "On the Development and Demise of the Fall 2019 Southeast U.S. Flash Drought: Links to an Extreme Positive IOD." Journal of Climate 34 (5): 1701-1723 [10.1175/jcli-d-20-0428.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2021. "The Contributions of Gauge-Based Precipitation and SMAP Brightness Temperature Observations to the Skill of the SMAP Level-4 Soil Moisture Product." Journal of Hydrometeorology 22 (2): 405-424 [10.1175/jhm-d-20-0217.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2020. "Mechanisms Associated with Daytime and Nighttime Heat Waves over the Contiguous United States." Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 59 (11): 1865-1882 [10.1175/jamc-d-20-0053.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2020. "Using a Simple Water Balance Framework to Quantify the Impact of Soil Moisture Initialization on Subseasonal Evapotranspiration and Air Temperature Forecasts." Journal of Hydrometeorology 21 (8): 1705-1722 [10.1175/jhm-d-20-0007.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2020. "Impact of a Regional US Drought on Land and Atmospheric Carbon." Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences 125 (8): [10.1029/2019jg005599] [Journal Article/Letter]

2020. "Prediction Skill of the 2012 U.S. Great Plains Flash Drought in Subseasonal Experiment (SubX) Models." Journal of Climate 33 (14): 6229-6253 [10.1175/jcli-d-19-0863.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2020. "An observation‐driven approach to improve vegetation phenology in a global land surface model." Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 12 e2020MS002083 [10.1029/2020ms002083] [Journal Article/Letter]

2020. "Improving early warning of drought-driven food insecurity in Southern Africa using operational hydrological monitoring and forecasting products." Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences [10.5194/nhess-20-1187-2020] [Journal Article/Letter]

2020. "The NASA hydrological forecast system for food and water security applications." Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. 101 (7): E1007-E1025 [10.1175/bams-d-18-0264.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2020. "GEOS-S2S Version 2: The GMAO high resolution coupled model and assimilation system for seasonal prediction." Journal of Geophysical Research 125 (5): [10.1029/2019JD031767] [Journal Article/Letter]

2019. "Version 4 of the SMAP Level‐4 Soil Moisture Algorithm and Data Product." Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11 (10): 3106-3130 [10.1029/2019ms001729] [Journal Article/Letter]

2019. "A Systematic Approach to Assessing the Sources and Global Impacts of Errors in Climate Models." Journal of Climate 32 (23): 8301-8321 [10.1175/jcli-d-19-0189.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2019. "Length Scales of Hydrological Variability as Inferred from SMAP Soil Moisture Retrievals." Journal of Hydrometeorology 20 (11): 2129-2146 [10.1175/jhm-d-19-0070.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2019. "Permafrost variability over the Northern Hemisphere based on the MERRA-2 reanalysis." The Cryosphere 13 (8): 2087-2110 [10.5194/tc-13-2087-2019] [Journal Article/Letter]

2019. "PEAT‐CLSM: A Specific Treatment of Peatland Hydrology in the NASA Catchment Land Surface Model." Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 11 (7): 2130-2162 [10.1029/2018ms001574] [Journal Article/Letter]

2019. "Flash Drought as Captured by Reanalysis Data: Disentangling the Contributions of Precipitation Deficit and Excess Evapotranspiration." Journal of Hydrometeorology 20 (6): 1241-1258 [10.1175/jhm-d-18-0242.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2019. "Phase Locking of the Boreal Summer Atmospheric Response to Dry Land Surface Anomalies in the Northern Hemisphere." Journal of Climate 32 (4): 1081-1099 [10.1175/jcli-d-18-0240.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2019. "Tendency Bias Correction in Coupled and Uncoupled Global Climate Models with a Focus on Impacts over North America." Journal of Climate 32 (2): 639-661 [10.1175/jcli-d-18-0598.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2019. "Attribution of the 2017 Northern High Plains Drought." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 100 (1): S25-S29 [10.1175/bams-d-18-0115.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2018. "Global relationships among traditional reflectance vegetation indices (NDVI and NDII), evapotranspiration (ET), and soil moisture variability on weekly timescales." Remote Sensing of Environment 219 339-352 [10.1016/j.rse.2018.10.020] [Journal Article/Letter]

2018. "The impact of spatiotemporal variability in atmospheric CO2 concentration on global terrestrial carbon fluxes." Biogeosciences 15 5635-5652 [10.5194/bg-15-5635-2018] [Journal Article/Letter]

2018. "Impacts of Snow Darkening by Deposition of Light-Absorbing Aerosols on Hydroclimate of Eurasia During Boreal Spring and Summer." Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres 123 (16): 8441-8461 [10.1029/2018jd028557] [Journal Article/Letter]

2018. "Estimating Basin-Scale Water Budgets With SMAP Soil Moisture Data." Water Resources Research 54 (7): 4228-4244 [10.1029/2018wr022669] [Journal Article/Letter]

2018. "Improved Hydrological Simulation Using SMAP Data: Relative Impacts of Model Calibration and Data Assimilation." Journal of Hydrometeorology 19 (4): 727-741 [10.1175/jhm-d-17-0228.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2018. "Verification of Land–Atmosphere Coupling in Forecast Models, Reanalyses, and Land Surface Models Using Flux Site Observations." Journal of Hydrometeorology 19 (2): 375-392 [10.1175/jhm-d-17-0152.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2018. "Assessment of MERRA-2 Land Surface Energy Flux Estimates." Journal of Climate 31 (2): 671-691 [10.1175/jcli-d-17-0121.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2017. "Global Assessment of the SMAP Level-4 Surface and Root-Zone Soil Moisture Product Using Assimilation Diagnostics." Journal of Hydrometeorology 18 3217-3237 [10.1175/JHM-D-17-0130.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2017. "Evaluation and Enhancement of Permafrost Modeling With the NASA Catchment Land Surface Model." Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems 9 2771-2795 [10.1002/2017ms001019] [Journal Article/Letter]

2017. "Assessment of the SMAP Level-4 Surface and Root-Zone Soil Moisture Product Using In Situ Measurements." Journal of Hydrometeorology 18 (10): 2621-2645 [10.1175/jhm-d-17-0063.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2017. "Hydroclimatic variability and predictability: a survey of recent research." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 21 (7): 3777-3798 [10.5194/hess-21-3777-2017] [Journal Article/Letter]

2017. "The Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications, Version 2 (MERRA-2)." Journal of Climate 30 5419–5454 [10.1175/jcli-d-16-0758.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2017. "Assessment of MERRA-2 Land Surface Hydrology Estimates." Journal of Climate 30 (8): 2937-2960 [10.1175/jcli-d-16-0720.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2017. "A Data-Driven Approach for Daily Real-Time Estimates and Forecasts of Near-Surface Soil Moisture." Journal of Hydrometeorology 18 (3): 837-843 [10.1175/jhm-d-16-0285.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2017. "Land Surface Precipitation in MERRA-2." Journal of Climate 30 (5): 1643-1664 [10.1175/jcli-d-16-0570.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2016. "Large Scale Influences on Summertime Extreme Precipitation in the Northeastern United States." Journal of Hydrometeorology JHM-D-16-0091.1 [10.1175/jhm-d-16-0091.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2016. "Chapter 92: Large-Scale and Global Hydrology." Handbook of Applied Hydrology 92.1-92.7 [Article in Book]

2016. "A Modeling Study of the Causes and Predictability of the Spring 2011 Extreme US Weather Activity." J. Climate 29 (21): 7869-7887 [10.1175/jcli-d-15-0673.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2016. "Impacts of Local Soil Moisture Anomalies on the Atmospheric Circulation and on Remote Surface Meteorological Fields During Boreal Summer: A Comprehensive Analysis over North America." J. Climate 29 (20): 7345-7364 [10.1175/jcli-d-16-0192.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2016. "Precipitation estimation using L-band and C-band soil moisture retrievals." Water Resources Research 52 (9): 7213-7225 [10.1002/2016wr019024] [Journal Article/Letter]

2016. "Global Meteorological Drought: A Synthesis of Current Understanding with a Focus on SST Drivers of Precipitation Deficits." J. Climate 29 (11): 3989-4019 [10.1175/jcli-d-15-0452.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2016. "Confronting Weather and Climate Models with Observational Data from Soil Moisture Networks over the United States." Journal of Hydrometeorology 17 (4): 1049-1067 [10.1175/jhm-d-15-0196.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2015. "Evaluating the utility of satellite soil moisture retrievals over irrigated areas and the ability of land data assimilation methods to correct for unmodeled processes." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences 19 (11): 4463-4478 [10.5194/hess-19-4463-2015] [Journal Article/Letter]

2015. "The 2010 Russian drought impact on satellite measurements of solar-induced chlorophyll fluorescence: Insights from modeling and comparisons with parameters derived from satellite reflectances." Remote Sensing of Environment 166 163–177 [10.1016/j.rse.2015.06.008] [Journal Article/Letter]

2015. "Interactive Vegetation Phenology, Soil Moisture, and Monthly Temperature Forecasts." Journal of Hydrometeorology 16 (4): 1456–1465 [10.1175/JHM-D-14-0205.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2015. "Impact of snow darkening via dust, black carbon, and organic carbon on boreal spring climate in the Earth system." J. Geophys. Res. Atmos 120 (11): 5485–5503 [10.1002/2014JD022977] [Journal Article/Letter]

2015. "“Efficiency Space”: A Framework for Evaluating Joint Evaporation and Runoff Behavior*." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 96 (3): 393-396 [10.1175/bams-d-14-00056.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2015. "Evaluating the utility of satellite soil moisture retrievals over irrigated areas and the ability of land data assimilation methods to correct for unmodeled processes." Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Discussions 12 5967 [Full Text] [10.5194/hessd-12-5967-2015] [Journal Article/Letter]

2014. "An updated treatment of soil texture and associated hydraulic properties in a global land modeling system." J. Adv. Model. Earth Sys 6 957-979 [10.1002/2014MS000330] [Journal Article/Letter]

2014. "A mechanism for land-atmosphere feedback involving planetary wave structures." J. Climate 27 9290-9301 [10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00315.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2014. "Hydroclimatic Controls on the Means and Variability of Vegetation Phenology and Carbon Uptake." J. Climate 27 (14): 5632-5652 [10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00477.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2014. "On the Role of SST Forcing in the 2011 and 2012 Extreme U.S. Heat and Drought: A Study in Contrasts." J. Hydrometeor. 15 (3): 1255-1273 [10.1175/JHM-D-13-069.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2014. "Northern Eurasian Heat Waves and Droughts." J. Climate 27 (9): 3169-3207 [10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00360.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2014. "Soil Moisture Initialization Error and Subgrid Variability of Precipitation in Seasonal Streamflow Forecasting." J. Hydrometeor. 15 (1): 69-88 [10.1175/JHM-D-13-050.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2013. "Seasonal variation of land-atmosphere coupling strength over the West African monsoon region in an atmospheric general circulation model." Hydrological Sciences Journal-Journal Des Sciences Hydrologiques 58 1276-1286 [DOI: 10.1080/02626667.2013.81491] [Journal Article/Letter]

2013. "Inferring Soil Moisture Memory from Streamflow Observations Using a Simple Water Balance Model." J. Hydrometeor. 14 (6): 1773-1790 [10.1175/JHM-D-12-099.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2013. "Phenological versus meteorological controls on land-atmosphere water and carbon fluxes." J. Geophys. Res. Biogeosci. 118 (1): 14-29 [10.1029/2012JG002088] [Journal Article/Letter]

2012. "Land Surface Controls on Hydroclimatic Means and Variability." Journal of Hydrometeorology 13 (5): 1604-1620 [10.1175/JHM-D-12-050.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2012. "Soil Moisture, Snow, and Seasonal Streamflow Forecasts in the United States." Journal of Hydrometeorology 13 (1): 189-203 [10.1175/JHM-D-11-046.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2012. "Rebound in Atmospheric Predictability and the Role of the Land Surface." Journal of Climate 25 4744-4749 [DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00651.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2012. "Soil moisture effects on seasonal temperature and precipitation forecast scores in Europe." Climate Dynamics 38 349-362 [DOI: 10.1007/s00382-010-0956-2] [Journal Article/Letter]

2012. "A Revised Framework for Analyzing Soil Moisture Memory in Climate Data: Derivation and Interpretation." J. Hydrometeorol. 13 (1): 404-412 [10.1175/JHM-D-11-044.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2012. "Correction to “Influence of dust and black carbon on the snow albedo in the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System version 5 land surface model”." J. Geophys. Res. 117 (D18): [10.1029/2012JD018691] [Journal Article/Letter]

2012. "Assimilation of GRACE terrestrial water storage into a land surface model: Evaluation and potential value for drought monitoring in western and central Europe." Journal of Hydrology 446-447 103-115 [10.1016/j.jhydrol.2012.04.035] [Journal Article/Letter]

2011. "MERRA: NASA’s Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications." J. Climate 24 (14): 3624-3648 [10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00015.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2011. "The Second Phase of the Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment: Soil Moisture Contributions to Subseasonal Forecast Skill." Journal of Hydrometeorology 12 805-822 [DOI: 10.1175/2011JHM1365.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2011. "Assessment and Enhancement of MERRA Land Surface Hydrology Estimates." Journal of Climate 24 (24): 6322-6338 [10.1175/JCLI-D-10-05033.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2011. "Climate science: Storm instigation from below." Nature Geoscience 4 (7): 427-428 [10.1038/ngeo1192] [Journal Article/Letter]

2011. "Influence of dust and black carbon on the snow albedo in the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System version 5 land surface model." J. Geophys. Res. 116 (D2): D02210 [10.1029/2010JD014861] [Journal Article/Letter]

2010. "The Soil Moisture Active Passive (SMAP) Mission." Proc. IEEE 98 (5): 704-716 [10.1109/jproc.2010.2043918] [Journal Article/Letter]

2010. "Contribution of land surface initialization to subseasonal forecast skill: First results from a multi-model experiment." Geophysical Research Letters 37 0-0 [DOI: 10.1029/2009GL041677] [Journal Article/Letter]

2010. "Performance Metrics for Soil Moisture Retrievals and Application Requirements." J. Hydrometeor 11 (3): 832-840 [10.1175/2010JHM1223.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2010. "The Physical Mechanisms by Which the Leading Patterns of SST Variability Impact U.S. Precipitation." Journal of Climate 23 (7): 1815-1836 [10.1175/2009JCLI3188.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2010. "Assimilation of Satellite-Derived Skin Temperature Observations into Land Surface Models." J. Hydrometeor 11 (5): 1103-1122 [10.1175/2010JHM1262.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2010. "Skill in streamflow forecasts derived from large-scale estimates of soil moisture and snow." Nature Geoscience 3 (9): 613-616 [10.1038/NGEO944] [Journal Article/Letter]

2009. "Multimodel Ensemble Reconstruction of Drought over the Continental United States." Journal of Climate 22 2694-2712 [DOI: 10.1175/2008JCLI2586.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2009. "Drought-Induced Warming in the Continental United States under Different SST Regimes." Journal of Climate 22 5385-5400 [DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI3075.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2009. "African Easterly Jet: Structure and Maintenance." Journal of Climate 22 4459-4480 [DOI: 10.1175/2009JCLI2584.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2009. "Analyzing the Concurrence of Meteorological Droughts and Warm Periods, with Implications for the Determination of Evaporative Regime." Journal of Climate 22 3331-3341 [DOI: 10.1175/2008JCLI2718.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2009. "Role of Subsurface Physics in the Assimilation of Surface Soil Moisture Observations." J. Hydrometeor 10 (6): 1534-1547 [10.1175/2009JHM1134.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2009. "A U.S. CLIVAR Project to Assess and Compare the Responses of Global Climate Models to Drought-Related SST Forcing Patterns: Overview and Results." Journal of Climate 22 (19): 5251-5272 [10.1175/2009JCLI3060.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2009. "On the nature of soil moisture in land surface models." J Climate 22 4322-4335 [Full Text] [Journal Article/Letter]

2008. "Contribution of soil moisture retrievals to land data assimilation products." Geophysical Research Letters 35 (1): L01404 [10.1029/2007GL031986] [Journal Article/Letter]

2008. "A land surface data assimilation framework using the land information system: Description and applications." Advances in Water Resources 31 (11): 1419-1432 [10.1016/j.advwatres.2008.01.013] [Journal Article/Letter]

2008. "Potential Predictability of Long-Term Drought and Pluvial Conditions in the U.S. Great Plains." Journal of Climate 21 (4): 802-816 [10.1175/2007JCLI1741.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2008. "The role of soil moisture initialization in subseasonal and seasonal streamflow prediction – A case study in Sri Lanka." Advances in Water Resources 31 (10): 1333-1343 [10.1016/j.advwatres.2008.06.004] [Journal Article/Letter]

2008. "Impact of Subsurface Temperature Variability on Surface Air Temperature Variability: An AGCM Study." J. Hydrometeor. 9 (4): 804-815 [10.1175/2008JHM949.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2008. "Using Observed Spatial Correlation Structures to Increase the Skill of Subseasonal Forecasts." Mon. Wea. Rev. 136 (6): 1923-1930 [10.1175/2007MWR2255.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2007. "Comparison and assimilation of global soil moisture retrievals from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) and the Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer (SMMR)." J Geophys Res 112 (D09108): 14 pp [10.1029/2006JD008033] [Journal Article/Letter]

2007. "Comparison and assimilation of global soil moisture retrievals from the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer for the Earth Observing System (AMSR-E) and the Scanning Multichannel Microwave Radiometer (SMMR)." J. Geophys. Res. 112 (D9): D09108 [10.1029/2006JD008033] [Journal Article/Letter]

2007. "Predicting drought on seasonal-to-decadal time scales." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 88 1625-1630 [DOI: 10.1175/BAMS-88-10-1625] [Journal Article/Letter]

2007. "Estimation of predictability with a newly derived index to quantify similarity among ensemble members." Monthly Weather Review 135 2674-2687 [DOI: 10.1175/MWR3418.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2006. "Soil moisture memory in AGCM simulations: Analysis of Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment (GLACE) Data." J. Hydrometeor. 7 (5): 1090-1112 [10.1175/JHM533.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2006. "GLACE: The Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment. Part II: Analysis." J. Hydrometeor. 7 (4): 611-625 [10.1175/JHM511.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2006. "GLACE: The Global Land-Atmosphere Coupling Experiment. Part I: Overview." J. Hydrometeor. 7 (4): 590-610 [10.1175/JHM510.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2006. "Multiple spaceborne water cycle observations would aid modeling." Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union 87 (15): 149–153 [10.1029/2006EO150002] [Journal Article/Letter]

2006. "Do global models properly represent the feedback between land and atmosphere?." Journal of Hydrometeorology 7 1177-1198 [DOI: 10.1175/JHM532.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2006. "Distinct hydrological signatures in observed historical temperature fields." Journal of Hydrometeorology 7 1061-1075 [DOI: 10.1175/JHM530.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2006. "Improving Short-term Climate Forecasts with Satellite Observations." 2006 IEEE International Geoscience and Remote Sensing Symposium Vols 1-8 3498-3501 [DOI: 10.1109/IGARSS.2006.897] [Journal Article/Letter]

2006. "Revisiting a hydrological analysis framework with International Satellite Land Surface Climatology Project Initiative 2 rainfall, net radiation, and runoff fields." J. Geophys. Res. 111 (D22): D22S05 [10.1029/2006JD007182] [Journal Article/Letter]

2005. "Relevance of time-varying and time-invariant retrieval error sources on the utility of spaceborne soil moisture products." Geophysical Research Letters 32 (24): L24405 [10.1029/2005GL024889] [Journal Article/Letter]

2005. "Global assimilation of satellite surface soil moisture retrievals into the NASA Catchment land surface model." Geophysical Research Letters 32 (2): L02404 [10.1029/2004GL021700] [Journal Article/Letter]

2005. "AGCM biases in evaporation regime: Impacts on soil moisture memory and land-atmosphere feedback." Journal of Hydrometeorology 6 656-669 [DOI: 10.1175/JHM446.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2004. "Regions of strong coupling between soil moisture and precipitation." Science 305 (5687): 1138-1140 [10.1126/science.1100217] [Journal Article/Letter]

2004. "Causes of Long-Term Drought in the U.S. Great Plains." J. Climate 17 (3): 485-503 [10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<0485:COLDIT>2.0.CO;2] [Journal Article/Letter]

2004. "The Rhone-aggregation land surface scheme intercomparison project: An overview." Journal of Climate 17 187-208 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(2004)017<0187:TRLSSI>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

2004. "Bias reduction in short records of satellite soil moisture." Geophysical Research Letters 31 (19): L19501 [10.1029/2004GL020938] [Journal Article/Letter]

2004. "On the cause of the 1930s Dust Bowl." Science 303 1855-1859 [DOI: 10.1126/science.1095048] [Journal Article/Letter]

2004. "Realistic Initialization of Land Surface States: Impacts on Subseasonal Forecast Skill." Journal of Hydrometeorology 5 (6): 1049-1063 [10.1175/JHM-387.1] [Journal Article/Letter]

2004. "Global Soil Moisture from Satellite Observations, Land Surface Models, and Ground Data: Implications for Data Assimilation." Journal of Hydrometeorology 5 (3): 430-442 [Full Text] [10.1175/1525-7541(2004)005<0430:GSMFSO>2.0.CO;2] [Journal Article/Letter]

2004. "Suggestions in the observational record of land-atmosphere feedback operating at seasonal time scales." Journal of Hydrometeorology 5 567-572 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1525-7541(2004)005<0567:SITORO>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

2004. "The Hydrosphere State (Hydros) Satellite Mission: An Earth System Pathfinder for Global Mapping of Soil Moisture and Land Freeze/Thaw." IEEE Trans Geosci Remote Sens 42 (10): 2184-2195 [Journal Article/Letter]

2003. "Intercomparison of Soil Moisture Memory in Two Land Surface Models." J. Hydrometeor 4 (6): 1134-1146 [10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004<1134:IOSMMI>2.0.CO;2] [Journal Article/Letter]

2003. "Observational evidence that soil moisture variations affect precipitation." Geophysical Research Letters 30 (5): 1241 [10.1029/2002GL016571] [Journal Article/Letter]

2003. "Impact of land surface initialization on seasonal precipitation and temperature prediction." Journal of Hydrometeorology 4 408-423 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1525-7541(2003)4<408:IOLSIO>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

2003. "Assessing the Impact of Horizontal Error Correlations in Background Fields on Soil Moisture Estimation." J. Hydrometeor 4 (6): 1229-1242 [Full Text] [10.1175/1525-7541(2003)004<1229:ATIOHE>2.0.CO;2] [Journal Article/Letter]

2003. "Intercomparison of Soil Moisture Memory in Two Land Surface Models." J Hydrometeorol 4 (6): 1134-1146 [Journal Article/Letter]

2003. "Simulation of high-latitude hydrological processes in the Torne-Kalix basin: PILPS Phase 2 (e) 3: Equivalent model representation and sensitivity experiments." Global and Planetary Change 38 (1-2): 55-71 [10.1016/S0921-8181(03)00005-5] [Journal Article/Letter]

2002. "Extended versus Ensemble Kalman Filtering for Land Data Assimilation." J. Hydrometeor 3 (6): 728-740 [10.1175/1525-7541(2002)003<0728:EVEKFF>2.0.CO;2] [Journal Article/Letter]

2002. "Representation of subsurface storm flow and a more responsive water table in a TOPMODEL-based hydrology model." Water Resources Research 38 1156 [DOI: 10.1029/2001WR000636] [Journal Article/Letter]

2002. "Land data assimilation with the ensemble Kalman filter: assessing model error parameters using innovations." Computational Methods in Water Resources Vols 1 and 2 47 1387-1394 [Journal Article/Letter]

2002. "Comparing the degree of land-atmosphere interaction in four atmospheric general circulation models." Journal of Hydrometeorology 3 363-375 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1525-7541(2002)003<0363:CTDOLA>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

2002. "Influence of the inter annual variability of vegetation on the surface energy balance - a global sensitivity study." Journal of Hydrometeorology 3 (6): 617-629 [Journal Article/Letter]

2002. "Extended versus Ensemble Kalman Filtering for Land Data Assimilation." J Hydrometerol 3 728-740 [Journal Article/Letter]

2001. "Influence of land surface fluxes on precipitation: Inferences from simulations forced with four ARM-CART SCM datasets." J. Climate 14 (17): 3666-3691 [10.1175/1520-0442(2001)014<3666:IOLSFO>2.0.CO;2] [Journal Article/Letter]

2001. "The impact of detailed snow physics on the simulation of snow cover and subsurface thermodynamics at continental scales." Journal of Hydrometeorology 2 228-242 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1525-7541(2001)002<0228:TIODSP>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

2001. "Soil moisture memory in climate models." Journal of Hydrometeorology 2 558-570 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1525-7541(2001)002<0558:SMMICM>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

2000. "The origin of Antarctic precipitation: a modelling approach." Tellus Series B-Chemical and Physical Meteorology 52 19-36 [DOI: 10.1034/j.1600-0889.2000.00951.x] [Journal Article/Letter]

2000. "The sensitivity of surface fluxes to soil water content in three land surface schemes." Journal of Hydrometeorology 1 121-134 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1525-7541(2000)001<0121:TSOSFT>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

2000. "Validity of the isotopic thermometer in central Antarctica: limited impact of glacial precipitation seasonality and moisture origin." Geophysical Research Letters 27 2677-2680 [DOI: 10.1029/2000GL011530] [Journal Article/Letter]

2000. "Water isotopes in precipitation: data/model comparison for present-day and past climates." Quaternary Science Reviews 19 363-379 [DOI: 10.1016/S0277-3791(99)00069-4] [Journal Article/Letter]

2000. "A catchment-based approach to modeling land surface processes in a general circulation model 1. Model structure." Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 105 24809-24822 [DOI: 10.1029/2000JD900327] [Journal Article/Letter]

2000. "A catchment-based approach to modeling land surface processes in a general circulation model 2. Parameter estimation and model demonstration." Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 105 24823-24838 [DOI: 10.1029/2000JD900328] [Journal Article/Letter]

2000. "Variance and predictability of precipitation at seasonal-to-interannual timescales." Journal of Hydrometeorology 1 26-46 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1525-7541(2000)001<0026:VAPOPA>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

1999. "Key results and implications from phase 1(c) of the Project for Intercomparison of Land-Surface Parametrization Schemes." Climate Dynamics 15 673-684 [DOI: 10.1007/s003820050309] [Journal Article/Letter]

1999. "An agenda for land surface hydrology research and a call for the second international hydrological decade." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 80 2043-2058 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1520-0477(1999)080<2043:AAFLSH>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

1999. "A catchment-based land surface model for GCMs and the framework for its evaluation." Physics and Chemistry of the Earth Part B-Hydrology Oceans and Atmosphere 24 769-773 [DOI: 10.1016/S1464-1909(99)00078-7] [Journal Article/Letter]

1999. "A simple framework for examining the interannual variability of land surface moisture fluxes." Journal of Climate 12 1911-1917 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1999)012<1911:ASFFET>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

1999. "The offline validation of land surface models: Assessing success at the annual timescale." Journal of the Meteorological Society of Japan 77 257-263. [Journal Article/Letter]

1998. "The Project for Intercomparison of Land-surface Parameterization Schemes (PILPS) phase 2(c) Red-Arkansas River basin experiment: 1. Experiment description and summary intercomparisons." Global and Planetary Change 19 115-135 [DOI: 10.1016/S0921-8181(98)00044-7] [Journal Article/Letter]

1998. "The Project for Intercomparison of Land-surface Parameterization Schemes (PILPS) phase 2(c) Red-Arkansas River basin experiment: 2. Spatial and temporal analysis of energy fluxes." Global and Planetary Change 19 137-159 [DOI: 10.1016/S0921-8181(98)00045-9] [Journal Article/Letter]

1998. "The Project for Intercomparison of Land-surface Parameterization Schemes (PILPS) phase 2(c) Red-Arkansas River basin experiment: 3. Spatial and temporal analysis of water fluxes." Global and Planetary Change 19 161-179 [DOI: 10.1016/S0921-8181(98)00046-0] [Journal Article/Letter]

1998. "Deuterium excess in Greenland snow: Analysis with simple and complex models." Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 103 8947-8953 [DOI: 10.1029/98JD00274] [Journal Article/Letter]

1998. "Sensitivity of latent heat flux from PILPS land-surface schemes to perturbations of surface air temperature." J Atmos Sci 55 1909-1927 [Journal Article/Letter]

1997. "Cabauw experimental results from the Project for Intercomparison of Land-Surface Parameterization Schemes." J Climate 10 (6): 1194-1215 [10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<1194:CERFTP>2.0.CO;2] [Journal Article/Letter]

1997. "Validity of the temperature reconstruction from water isotopes in ice cores." Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans 102 26471-26487 [DOI: 10.1029/97JC01283] [Journal Article/Letter]

1997. "Timescales of land surface evapotranspiration response." Journal of Climate 10 559-566 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<0559:TOLSER>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

1997. "The interplay between transpiration and runoff formulations in land surface schemes used with atmospheric models." Journal of Climate 10 1578-1591 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1997)010<1578:TIBTAR>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

1996. "The ISLSCP Initiative I Global Datasets: Surface Boundary Conditions and Atmospheric Forcings for Land-Atmosphere Studies." Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society 77 (9): 1987-2005 [Full Text] [10.1175/1520-0477(1996)077<1987:TIIIGD>2.0.CO;2] [Journal Article/Letter]

1996. "A reconsideration of the initial conditions used for stable water isotope models." Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 101 22933-22938 [DOI: 10.1029/96JD02362] [Journal Article/Letter]

1996. "The influence of land surface moisture retention on precipitation statistics." Journal of Climate 9 2551-2567 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1996)009<2551:TIOLSM>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

1996. "Snow cover and snow mass intercomparisons of general circulation models and remotely sensed datasets." J Climate 9 409-426 [Journal Article/Letter]

1995. "EFFECT OF A CANOPY INTERCEPTION RESERVOIR ON HYDROLOGICAL PERSISTENCE IN A GENERAL-CIRCULATION MODEL." Journal of Climate 8 1917-1922 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1995)008<1917:EOACIR>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

1995. "SEASONAL PRECIPITATION TIMING AND ICE CORE RECORDS." Science 269 247-248 [DOI: 10.1126/science.269.5221.247] [Journal Article/Letter]

1995. "RELATIVE CONTRIBUTIONS OF LAND AND OCEAN PROCESSES TO PRECIPITATION VARIABILITY." Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 100 13775-13790 [DOI: 10.1029/95JD00176] [Journal Article/Letter]

1994. "THE COMPONENTS OF A SVAT SCHEME AND THEIR EFFECTS ON A GCMS HYDROLOGICAL CYCLE." Advances in Water Resources 17 61-78 [DOI: 10.1016/0309-1708(94)90024-8] [Journal Article/Letter]

1994. "Stable water isotope behavior during the last glacial maximum: A general circulation model analysis." J Geophys Res 99 (D12): 25,791-25,801 [10.1029/94JD01819] [Journal Article/Letter]

1994. "Glacial-Interglacial Changes in Moisture Sources for Greenland: Influences on the Ice Core Record of Climate." Science 263 (5146): 508-511 [10.1126/science.263.5146.508] [Journal Article/Letter]

1993. "CLIMATE VARIABILITY STUDIES WITH A COUPLED LAND ATMOSPHERE MODEL." Macroscale Modelling of the Hydrosphere 214 173-181 [Journal Article/Letter]

1993. "CONTINENTAL WATER RECYCLING AND (H2O)-O-18 CONCENTRATIONS." Geophysical Research Letters 20 2215-2218 [DOI: 10.1029/93GL01781] [Journal Article/Letter]

1992. "A COMPARATIVE-ANALYSIS OF 2 LAND SURFACE HETEROGENEITY REPRESENTATIONS." Journal of Climate 5 1379-1390 [Full Text] [DOI: 10.1175/1520-0442(1992)005<1379:ACAOTL>2.0.CO] [Journal Article/Letter]

1992. "MODELING THE LAND SURFACE BOUNDARY IN CLIMATE MODELS AS A COMPOSITE OF INDEPENDENT VEGETATION STANDS." Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 97 2697-2715 [Journal Article/Letter]

1992. "Origin of July Antarctic precipitation and its influence on deuterium content: a GCM analysis." Climate Dynamics 7 (4): 195-203 [10.1007/BF00206861] [Journal Article/Letter]

1991. "Simulations of the HDO and H2 18O atmospheric cycles using the NASA GISS general circulation model: Sensitivity experiments for present-day conditions." J. Geophys. Res. 96 (D4): 7495 [10.1029/90JD02663] [Journal Article/Letter]

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Non-Refereed

2022. "Climate characteristics of the atmospheric analysis increments from the GEOS S2S V3 AOGCM replayed to MERRA-2." NASA Technical Reports Series on Global Modeling and Data Assimilation, NASA/TM-2021-104606 62 147 [Report]

2017. "An Evaluation of Teleconnections Over the United States in an Ensemble of AMIP Simulations with the MERRA-2 Configuration of the GEOS Atmospheric Model." NASA Technical Report Series on Global Modeling and Data Assimilation, NASA/TM-2016-104606 47 68 [Report]

2017. "An Evaluation of Teleconnections Over the United States in an Ensemble of AMIP Simulations with the MERRA-2 Configuration of the GEOS Atmospheric Model." NASA Technical Report Series on Global Modeling and Data Assimilation, NASA/TM-2016-104606 47 68 [Report]

2015. "Land Boundary Conditions for the Goddard Earth Observing System Model Version 5 (GEOS-5) Climate Modeling System - Recent Updates and Data File Descriptions." NASA/TM–2015-104606 39 55 [Report]

2015. "Land Boundary Conditions for the Goddard Earth Observing System Model Version 5 (GEOS-5) Climate Modeling System - Recent Updates and Data File Descriptions." NASA/TM–2015-104606 39 55 [Report]

2015. "Evaluation of the 7-km GEOS-5 Nature Run." NASA Technical Report Series on Global Modeling and Data Assimilation 36 (NASA/TM-2014-104606): [Report]

2014. "Drought Prediction for Socio-Cultural Stability Project." NASA/TM-2014-218303 [Full Text] [Report]

2003. "GLACE: Quantifying Land-Atmosphere Coupling Strength Across a Broad Range of Climate Models." CLIVAR Exchanges 8 (4): 14-17 [Newsletter]

1995. "An Overview of the ISLSCP Initiative I Global Data Sets." ISLSCP Initiative I - Global Data Sets for Land-Atmosphere Models, 1987-1988, NASA Technical Memorandum, CD-ROM 1-5 [Other]

1994. "An Overview of the ISLSCP Initiative I Global Data Sets." Proc. AGU Symposium, Baltimore, MD, 5/29-31/95 [Proceedings]